TODAY - 3/30 - MAJOR OUTBREAK!!!
YIKES!
The extensive cloud cover and widepsread precip advertised by the models did not develop overnight. In fact, skies are clearing nicely over the entire risk area from N TX to KS. With stronger insolation, CAPE values should have no problem exceeding 2000 with very steep lapse rates and LI values. Jet dynamics are impressive and the dryline punch appears to be shaping up as an impressive one. In a nutshell, THIS IS VERY SIMILAR TO MAY 3, 1999 (I didn't say "exactly"..so chill out) with about the only exception being lower dewpoints thus lower instabilities....so maybe we'll be spared the violent F4 and F5 tornadoes all over the place.
Regardless, there should be numerous tornadic supercells today and this evening from S OK northward to include all of the eastern half of Kansas. Long lived cyclic supercells appear certain along with the possibility of a long track tornado or two. I wholeheartedly agree with the strongly worded PDS statements today. I am gravely concerned that this could be a repeat of the Missouri outbreak a couple of weeks ago.
Already some strong storms are erupting over far western OK along the dryline. This is indeed going to be a long day for residents, emergency managers, spotters, and NWS employees as well as the Gary Englands out there.
I'll be heading out from Dallas as soon as possible up I-35 trying to target the Purcell/Ardmore region. My new VX-2100 camcorder looks to get quite an inauguration.
As a side note, the president of my personal fan club is retiring from public life after apparently accumulating his very own fan club members. I seriously doubt his absence will be permanent though. Drama queens are addicted to the spotlight much like bugs to a porchlight. Perhaps now a good dose of being on the receiving end of stalkers and personal vendettas will be a good, healthy learning experience for him. I don't know how the stormchasing world will ever survive now without a police force and judge keeping everybody in line and properly ranked. LOL!! I wish him the best. ;-)
The extensive cloud cover and widepsread precip advertised by the models did not develop overnight. In fact, skies are clearing nicely over the entire risk area from N TX to KS. With stronger insolation, CAPE values should have no problem exceeding 2000 with very steep lapse rates and LI values. Jet dynamics are impressive and the dryline punch appears to be shaping up as an impressive one. In a nutshell, THIS IS VERY SIMILAR TO MAY 3, 1999 (I didn't say "exactly"..so chill out) with about the only exception being lower dewpoints thus lower instabilities....so maybe we'll be spared the violent F4 and F5 tornadoes all over the place.
Regardless, there should be numerous tornadic supercells today and this evening from S OK northward to include all of the eastern half of Kansas. Long lived cyclic supercells appear certain along with the possibility of a long track tornado or two. I wholeheartedly agree with the strongly worded PDS statements today. I am gravely concerned that this could be a repeat of the Missouri outbreak a couple of weeks ago.
Already some strong storms are erupting over far western OK along the dryline. This is indeed going to be a long day for residents, emergency managers, spotters, and NWS employees as well as the Gary Englands out there.
I'll be heading out from Dallas as soon as possible up I-35 trying to target the Purcell/Ardmore region. My new VX-2100 camcorder looks to get quite an inauguration.
As a side note, the president of my personal fan club is retiring from public life after apparently accumulating his very own fan club members. I seriously doubt his absence will be permanent though. Drama queens are addicted to the spotlight much like bugs to a porchlight. Perhaps now a good dose of being on the receiving end of stalkers and personal vendettas will be a good, healthy learning experience for him. I don't know how the stormchasing world will ever survive now without a police force and judge keeping everybody in line and properly ranked. LOL!! I wish him the best. ;-)
posted by Steve Miller TX at 3/30/2006 09:59:00 AM
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