Sunday, March 25, 2007

Today's Thoughts 3/25

TORNADO WARNING - TORNADO REPORTED SE OF LUBBOCK!!!! I'm out the door!!!

Interesting little setup ongoing at this time for W TX. Strong clearing is allowing bountiful insolation underneath pretty cold mid and upper temps along with surface moisture is allowing for some pretty good destabilization today. latest indications with RUC forecasts indicate CAPE exceeding 2000 from SW TX and even into the E TX PH. Obvious surface boundary is focusing some strong storms from Morton to Lubbock. I'm thinking this boundary will remain in play today as ongoing storms and sharp cloud/clearing line keep it reinforced.

Although vertical wind profiles aren't all that great, 850-300mb shear is pretty good. This should allow for some organized storm development. The 0-3km CAPE looks to be pretty stromg in that area today as well. This makes it interesting enough for me to venture that way today just to see what happens. I figure I'll make it to Tulia and perhaps Hale Center and make a decision to stay or come back home.

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