Tax Time Tornadoes?

The NAM (Never Accurate Model) has been supporting a general model trend of a slightly slower and stronger system for Saturday. The 00Z run is even more promising for some fun with tornadic supercells. The dynamics are certainly impressive...negative tilt trough, strong PVA, left-exit upper jets, strong punching dryline, excellent shear and veering profiles, decent instabilities, good moisture depth, and it's in Kansas ;-) But, in the year of "Houdini" setups, I'm not taking the bait just yet. I've got enough hook wounds, thank you. ;-)

Seriously, I've got a little more faith in the NAM because of such good prior model consensus of the GooFuS and ECMWF as well as a steady trend of all three models towards the latest 00z NAM solution. It's enough for me to schedule an earlier flight for Friday back to DFW in order to make a beeline to the Land of OZ on Saturday. I just hope there isn't a funny "NAM" behind the curtain. LOL!!