Possible Chasing Tuesday?

Before I chat about the upcoming severe possibilities this week, a little business first. Here is something I put together using diy.despair.com which I thought appropriate.

Just when I thought they couldn't play any worse, they surprised even the most staunch of pessimists today against the Rams. Dismal, sloppy, incompetent are understatements. Granted, the injuries hurt, but it's no excuse for playing like they did today. I wonder when everybody else starts seeing the core of all of their problems resting on the shoulders of the coaching staff?

Okay, with that out of the way, there is an interesting scenario shaping up for Tuesday. A strong shot of energy punches into Colorado/Kansas with some moisture and a little instability to work with. Throw in a triple-point surface low with a nice warm front, forecast low LCLs, good 0-1 and 0-3km veering profiles...and you have the ingredients for a very interesting setup. The only negative to it is the very rapid evolution and movement of the upper dynamics. So, the window of opportunity maybe a small one, but at this point, looks like a favorable time of day.

I'm basing alot of this off the GFS as the NAM/WRF is handling the upper dynamics differently. The GFS has been remarkably persistant for several runs now. We'll see what consecutive model runs hold in store. At least the SPC is looking at it with their Day 3 outlook. We should get at least one decent chase opportunity this fall.

That's it for now. Stay tuned!