June Outbreak!!!!!

Definitely a big week's worth of chasing ahead of us!! A special shout out to Dewdrop and her husband as they make their Tornado Alley debut with the Twister Sisters. She must be in good graces with the storm gods (no....not the high priests of stormchasing...lol!) as Wednesday has all of the makings for a significant outbreak of tornadic supercells all across parts of South Dakota into northern Kansas and perhaps even into the big stormvoid of Oklahoma herein known as the Oklavoid®! ;-)

Some possibility exists for the eastern TX PH too, but anything south of I-70 will be fighting a fierce cap. Regardless, Dewdrop's entourage should be right in the middle of the thick of things tomorrow. I predict that several tornadoes will be had and an extended performance of the Happy Dew Dance into the wee hours of Thursday morning. She might even see more tornadoes in one day than I have all year! :-) Be sure to check out her blog as she chronicles her adventure!

Today appears mediocre for my area, but I'd love to be up in W NE and NE CO today.

Wednesday: Outbreak.

Thursday looks like Oklahoma for sure. If the entire front doesn't instantly line out, I like that play as well. But, that is Oklavoid territory, so we'll see. :-)

Friday, back to the 2007 posterchild state for tornado alley, some very interesting possibilities in SW TX and SE NM. The forecast helicities down there along the front are totally nuts. I see no reason that it won't be a classic setup of upslope with easterly low level winds with westerlies up top. The question mark is how strong the westerlies will be and where the front actually winds up..or lifts north during the afternoon. However, instability and moisture will be abundant along with the aformentioned helicities. I've got a feeling that the front will actually end up a little further north than the 12z NAM forecast. We'll see as the event draws closer.

Saturday, it appears that a significant event may unfold across E CO with the upslope regime and down along the dryline into west Texas. I really love setups with westerlies perpendicular to a dryline. Could very well be some monster tornadic supercells with all of the juice that will be in place.

Sunday, similar setup, but looking like a pretty significant E CO upslope event and for the TX PH.

Monday and beyond....significant severe weather events possible for pretty much all of next week all across tornado alley. It's an incredible and unbelievable upper air pattern establishing itself. The GFS ensembles (NOT the operational runs) have been prediciting it for a couple weeks now along with Ed Berry. It's nice to see it all coming together. I'm gonna be one tired little stormchaser come the end of June.

A monster typhoon is bearing down on the Persian Gulf, so I would not be surprised to see us get gouged even more with prices to exceed $4/gallon soon. I'm going to be totally broke come the end of June. But hey, at least I won't mortgage the house like other addictions lead people to do. ;-) However, if we then get another big hurricane into the GOM, gas will become more expensive than fine wine. We'll start seeing scenes straight out of MadMax with people taking over refineries and turning them into fortresses. Sheesh.

Until then....JUNE ROCKS!! May who? LOL!

OK...light the fuse!

Not much to add from SPC outlooks and my previous thinking. The models are trying to kick this upper system out a little shallower. They are painting the area from Amarillo to Lubbock as a prime area. I'll probably hang around Amarillo longer today before heading out on the road. I'll target Plainview to Lubbock right now.

I will be updating live from the road on my new site called: TAILCASTER

So, follow along if you'd like. I'll be using this for the rest of the season for live road updates so as not to clog my blog...like a hog...in a bog...through the fog...errr...eat a frog...you dirty dog...errrr...okay... ;-) My last post of the day here....so check over there!

Amarillo Floodage!

A few pics I took today at lunch and the last one after work.












You know, I believe I've had more "weather" here in the past 7 weeks than I had all of last year in North Central Texas. Did I tell ya that I love living up here? ;-)